Florida’s economy will have a few slower spots ahead, but the state is still growing where it counts for real estate professionals: population.

According to a new quarterly Florida TaxWatch forecast, the state’s population will grow by about 2.3 million people from 2026 to 2035. That points to continued pressure on housing, services and local infrastructure, even as the pace of new arrivals slows.

In 2026, Florida is expected to gain 895 more people each day than it loses to other states or countries. By 2035, that daily gain is expected to fall to 689 people. That is slower, but still steady growth for a state where new residents continue to shape local markets.

Florida TaxWatch said population growth has held up even as other parts of the forecast softened. The report points to Florida’s business growth, startups, lack of a personal income tax, weather and other amenities as reasons people and companies continue to choose the state.

The broader economy is also expected to keep expanding. Florida’s real gross domestic product is forecast to grow 2.5% in 2026, dip to 1.9% in 2027, then rebound to 2.9% in 2028 and stay slightly above 3% for the rest of the period.

The labor market is expected to keep growing, too, though at a slower pace. Florida TaxWatch projects total nonfarm employment will rise 1.2% in 2026 and 1% in 2027 before improving later in the forecast period. Steady job growth is another sign that Florida’s housing needs are not fading, even if some buyers and sellers move more carefully in the near term.

For Realtors, the takeaway is simple: Florida is still growing, but the broader economy may feel uneven in the short term. That makes local market knowledge, realistic pricing conversations and clear guidance even more important as buyers and sellers weigh their next move.

© 2026 Florida Realtors®

 

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *